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Betting Now Open For Best-Selling Game Of Christmas 08

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Betting Now Open For Best-Selling Game Of Christmas 08

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Wanna bet which game will be the number one seller over Christmas? Paddy Power is giving odds.

Paddy Power, an Irish online bookmaker, has opened betting on which videogame will be the U.K.'s top seller over the 2008 Christmas season. Leading the way at press time is Call of Duty: World at War at 5-2, followed by FIFA Soccer 09 at 4-1 and Need For Speed Undercover, with 5-1 odds. Interestingly, Guitar Hero World Tour is down the list a bit, at 12-1, while Rock Band 2, dragged down by recent reports of significantly slowing sales, is an outside runner at 20-1.

Feel like rolling the dice a little? Mortal Kombat vs. DC Universe will get you 50-1 odds, as will betting on a holiday resurgence for Grand Theft Auto IV. Movie games Star Wars: The Clone Wars - Lightsaber Duels and Madagascar: Escape 2 Africa are both coming in at 150-1 longshots, along with the upcoming World of Warcraft expansion Wrath of the Lich King, which I have to admit I find a bit surprising. Risk-takers on a hot streak might find something to like in Resident Evil Zero, a 250-1 horse that's so dark it's practically invisible.

Based in Dublin, Paddy Power is Ireland's largest bookmaker, giving odds on everything from conventional sports events to the U.S. Presidential election, Russell Brand's next job, whether or not God actually exists and, at 500-1, whether Russell Brand actually is God. People who live in silly countries where online gambling is illegal (but assault weapon ownership isn't) can't get a piece of this action, but the rest of the world can pick their ponies here.

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Gone Gonzo
Posts: 3447
Joined: 8 May 2008

I bet FIFA 09 because World at War is being drowned in cynicism over its World War II setting (and FIFA has online where each player is different person is awesome).

Gone Gonzo
Posts: 3085
Joined: 13 Jul 2008

I predict Left 4 Dead.

On the Record
Posts: 6848
Joined: 22 Aug 2008

It surprises me that WotLK is so low on the odds. My money's actually going to be on that. At 150-1 odds someone could stand to make a fairly large win if they were right.

Gone Gonzo
Posts: 2487
Joined: 29 Nov 2007

I'm also gonna go with FIFA 09. I've heard people do nothing but gush about the game and I don't even follow sport games.

Gone Gonzo
Posts: 1710
Joined: 2 Jan 2008

Amnestic:
It surprises me that WotLK is so low on the odds. My money's actually going to be on that. At 150-1 odds someone could stand to make a fairly large win if they were right.

Same here... holy shit, I can't believe those odds!

Muckraker
Posts: 305
Joined: 1 Oct 2008

My sure-fire bet goes to Little Big Planet and Gears of War 2, with my long-shot being Mortal Kombat vs DC.

Gone Gonzo
Posts: 1214
Joined: 9 Dec 2007

Wrath.

Gone Gonzo
Posts: 4569
Joined: 25 Feb 2008

curlycrouton:
I predict Left 4 Dead.

nah, with horror games you lose the crucial very olds, very youngs and very young's mums. They aren't usually daft enough to buy their kid a game with a severed hand on the front.

My money goes on WoW. Massive existing market.

Gone Gonzo
Posts: 3085
Joined: 13 Jul 2008

fix-the-spade:

curlycrouton:
I predict Left 4 Dead.

nah, with horror games you lose the crucial very olds, very youngs and very young's mums. They aren't usually daft enough to buy their kid a game with a severed hand on the front.

My money goes on WoW. Massive existing market.

Maybe you're right.
In that case, Lego Batman.

Copy Clerk
Posts: 123
Joined: 23 Jun 2008

The problem is the wording of the argument: "Best seller Christmas 08"

WotLK Goes on sale on the 13th of november most everywhere i think, a good Month+ before the christmas season, so if they dont count the release night sales, of course the 150-1 odds make more sense as there's no logic behind WotLK sales outpacing anything else after the first week of its release.

Gone Gonzo
Posts: 1540
Joined: 1 Nov 2008

Got a feeling that it'll be either FIFA 09 or Need for Speed, not because I'd get them but because they'll appeal to a wider audience...

Gone Gonzo
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Joined: 21 May 2008

Going by times I've had to fill out pre-order forms for it I'd say Professor Layton and the Curious Village for the DS will sell BILLIONS

BANNED
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Joined: 30 Jan 2008

You are all insane. Deep down, we all know what will sell the best, even if we wish it wasn't.

Wii Music.

Although I am shocked that both Resistance 2 and LittleBigplanet got better odds than it. Someones gonna lose a fair amount.

Edit: Huh, no odds for Metal Gear Solid 4. You'd think they would be there over Madagascar.

On the Record
Posts: 6100
Joined: 25 Jan 2008

What's the betting odds on 25% or more of those titles being pushed back into 2009?

BANNED
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Joined: 19 Aug 2008

I'm would bet GH4 but it's going to be sold out everywhere so I'll bet COD 5.

BANNED
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Khell_Sennet:
What's the betting odds on 25% or more of those titles being pushed back into 2009?

Bad, seeing as how 60% are already out.

Gone Gonzo
Posts: 3760
Joined: 18 Dec 2007

World at War isn't surprising. Most of CoD4's sales came from Christmas and it knocked xbox live out for a week. I' guessing the same people who bought number four in trucks loads will do the same for number five.

I just hope Live can withstand fire power of that magnitude this time.

Gone Gonzo
Posts: 2381
Joined: 6 Mar 2008

It'll definitely be something on the Wii or DS. Do console bundles count? If so, I reckon Wii Sports. If not, Wii Music.

Gone Gonzo
Posts: 1578
Joined: 26 Mar 2008

COD: W@W for mine. Then GH:WT as an outside bet

BANNED
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Fire Daemon:
World at War isn't surprising. Most of CoD4's sales came from Christmas and it knocked xbox live out for a week. I' guessing the same people who bought number four in trucks loads will do the same for number five.

I just hope Live can withstand fire power of that magnitude this time.

Isn't it likely to be more bogged down with Gears 2? And the PsN with Resistance 2?

Gone Gonzo
Posts: 3760
Joined: 18 Dec 2007

Indigo_Dingo:

Fire Daemon:
World at War isn't surprising. Most of CoD4's sales came from Christmas and it knocked xbox live out for a week. I' guessing the same people who bought number four in trucks loads will do the same for number five.

I just hope Live can withstand fire power of that magnitude this time.

Isn't it likely to be more bogged down with Gears 2? And the PsN with Resistance 2?

CoD5 is cross platform so I think that gives it a pretty big advantage over Gears of War 2 and Resistance 2.

BANNED
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Fire Daemon:

Indigo_Dingo:

Fire Daemon:
World at War isn't surprising. Most of CoD4's sales came from Christmas and it knocked xbox live out for a week. I' guessing the same people who bought number four in trucks loads will do the same for number five.

I just hope Live can withstand fire power of that magnitude this time.

Isn't it likely to be more bogged down with Gears 2? And the PsN with Resistance 2?

CoD5 is cross platform so I think that gives it a pretty big advantage over Gears of War 2 and Resistance 2.

I would say just the opposite, actually - while its sales might be higher overall, the two combined are likely to see more online activity.

Its still somewhat likely to be the best selling game of the year, but I still think its not gonna top either consoles online usage lists.

That being said, I still don't know about WAW. I think 4 really benefited most from its fresh perspective, and allowing us to use something other than the 45-era rifles. Even with the Zombie Nazi seige mode...... that gets trumped by Resistance 2's co-op, GeOW2's Horde Mode (I think thats what its called), and all of Left 4 Dead.

But then, I am biased against the game cause they still haven't put in any fucking Australians. This was our half of the war, damnit! We suffered through torture second only to the holocaust victims. And we are to be ignored in this?!

Gone Gonzo
Posts: 3760
Joined: 18 Dec 2007

Indigo_Dingo:
But then, I am biased against the game cause they still haven't put in any fucking Australians. This was our half of the war, damnit! We suffered through torture second only to the holocaust victims. And we are to be ignored in this?!

Yeah, I'm pretty pissed of at that as well. And the two exclusives will see more online usage. I've been playing the Beta test for a bit and it is no where as good as CoD4. I could go on for ages but I don't really want to type all night. The reason I said it will sell is because of the popularity number four gave to the franchise. At face value CoD5 is CoD4 with a different paint job and I think this is going to sell the game. People who enjoyed CoD4 are more than likely going to buy this game expecting new maps and different weapons with the Gameplay they love. They are going to be disappointed.

And what is the deal with no Australians in this game? All the Halo games had Australians and they didn't really need to be there, why the hell are there no Australians in the one game where we would be best suited. I mean sure there might be some mention of Aussies but to the best of my Knowledge they aren't playable in Multiplayer and that means no Australians in singleplayer. The Kokoda trail would have been a great resource for Treyarch... but they let it go to waste.

Beat Writer
Posts: 183
Joined: 18 Jan 2008

got to be Resistance 2 and Gears of War 2

Gone Gonzo
Posts: 3804
Joined: 6 Feb 2008

TheGhostOfSin:
Going by times I've had to fill out pre-order forms for it I'd say Professor Layton and the Curious Village for the DS will sell BILLIONS

Ooh, my copy was dispatched today...
Does anyone know how Wii Fit is selling at the moment? Last I heard demand was far outstripping supply...
Edit: 20:1 on Wii Fit... I like those odds. Now if only I had any money to bet...

Beat Writer
Posts: 137
Joined: 7 Jul 2008

I was hoping to vote for Duke Nukem Forever. Odds for that must be 100000000000:1 at least. :)

BANNED
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I think... CoD : WaW.

Gone Gonzo
Posts: 1578
Joined: 26 Mar 2008

Fire Daemon:

Indigo_Dingo:
But then, I am biased against the game cause they still haven't put in any fucking Australians. This was our half of the war, damnit! We suffered through torture second only to the holocaust victims. And we are to be ignored in this?!

Yeah, I'm pretty pissed of at that as well. And the two exclusives will see more online usage. I've been playing the Beta test for a bit and it is no where as good as CoD4. I could go on for ages but I don't really want to type all night. The reason I said it will sell is because of the popularity number four gave to the franchise. At face value CoD5 is CoD4 with a different paint job and I think this is going to sell the game. People who enjoyed CoD4 are more than likely going to buy this game expecting new maps and different weapons with the Gameplay they love. They are going to be disappointed.

And what is the deal with no Australians in this game? All the Halo games had Australians and they didn't really need to be there, why the hell are there no Australians in the one game where we would be best suited. I mean sure there might be some mention of Aussies but to the best of my Knowledge they aren't playable in Multiplayer and that means no Australians in singleplayer. The Kokoda trail would have been a great resource for Treyarch... but they let it go to waste.

I too am more than a little pissed at that. Both my grandfathers fought against the Japanese in the Pacific theatre of war; them and many, many, many Australians. Lest we forget.

 
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